Iran’s Islamic regime is seen as a major threat to American national security, and Trump’s possible return to power in 2025 could have significant effects on Iran. Despite provocative actions, Iran acts rationally to protect its political survival by making temporary concessions.
The incoming Trump administration is expected to increase pressure on Iran due to various reasons. President Biden warned of Iran’s threat, there are charges of assassination attempts, intelligence reports link Iran to anti-Israel activities, and Iran defies international demands on its nuclear program. European powers, who previously tried to circumvent US sanctions, are now imposing measures on Iran.
The Trump administration’s foreign policy will heavily involve Iran, especially with ongoing conflicts in the region. Trump’s pro-Israel Cabinet members hint at a tough approach towards Iran. Leaked information suggests intensifying maximum pressure on Iran to halt its nuclear program and support for proxies, possibly leading to regime change.
Iran’s leadership is rational in facing threats to its survival, as seen in historical instances. The regime may choose to negotiate and make concessions to avoid major conflicts with the incoming administration. Iran has already shown readiness for talks and diplomacy with the US to alleviate tensions.
As Trump’s return looms, Iran faces a crucial decision. Resistance to US demands could result in severe economic and military pressures, impacting the regime significantly. Given the weakened deterrence of Iran and potential internal unrest, the regime may reluctantly opt for temporary concessions to survive.
